Pilot release 0.1 · Evidence before rankings

Claims, chains
and receipts.

These are first-pass research packets, not reporter grades. Each story is separated into atomic claims, traced through its source chain and resolved with evidence that was available at the time.

3case packets
9atomic claims
0reporter rankings

First-pass coding remains provisional until a second reviewer independently codes each packet and disagreements are adjudicated.

Case 01 · 2023 · Transaction control case

Brandin Cooks trade

First-pass coded

A clean test of whether one sourced transaction report is split into the player movement and each compensation term, then resolved against the team announcement.

Why this case

This is the control case: the report was specific, the source chain was short, and Dallas supplied prompt Tier A confirmation.

Atomic claim register

CR-2023-COOKS-01
Trade / transaction · Expected outcomeDallas would acquire Brandin Cooks from Houston.

Confirmed by the Cowboys' transaction announcement.

VerifiedTier A
CR-2023-COOKS-02
Trade terms · DefiniteHouston would receive Dallas's 2023 fifth-round pick.

Exact compensation term confirmed by Dallas.

VerifiedTier A
CR-2023-COOKS-03
Trade terms · DefiniteHouston would receive Dallas's 2024 sixth-round pick.

Exact compensation term confirmed by Dallas.

VerifiedTier A

Time-aware story snapshots

First sourced report
79Credible

Specific terms and a strong named reporting root, before official confirmation.

Cowboys announcement
100Confirmed

All three atomic claims resolved with Tier A evidence.

Source chain

1 reporting root

One original root; downstream rewrites do not become independent confirmation.

NFL.com attributes the report to Ian Rapoport. The Cowboys announcement resolves the terms but is evidence, not another reporting root.

Timeline

  1. Sourced report

    NFL.com reports the trade and both draft-pick terms via Ian Rapoport.

  2. Official resolution

    Dallas announces the acquisition and the same compensation.

Evidence register

Case 02 · 2024 · Contradiction and timing case

Mike Zimmer / Rex Ryan sequence

First-pass coded

A hiring story whose public certainty changed over four days, testing timestamps, contradictory evidence and the difference between final outcome and process claims.

Why this case

This case prevents hindsight scoring. Zimmer's eventual hiring verifies the outcome, but it does not automatically settle every report about what happened during the process.

Atomic claim register

CR-2024-ZIMMER-01
Coach hiring · Expected outcomeDallas was expected to hire Mike Zimmer as defensive coordinator.

Dallas later announced an agreement with Zimmer.

VerifiedTier A
CR-2024-ZIMMER-02
Negotiation status · DefiniteThe Zimmer agreement was not finalized by Sunday, Feb. 11.

Dallas said the agreement was reached Monday afternoon.

VerifiedTier A
CR-2024-ZIMMER-03
Process / contact · DefiniteDallas recontacted Rex Ryan after the initial Zimmer report.

The final Zimmer hire neither proves nor disproves this separate contact claim.

UnresolvedTier C

Time-aware story snapshots

Feb. 8 report
78Credible

Strong sourcing, but no official announcement yet.

Feb. 11 challenge
61Mixed

Ryan's public statement adds material contradictory evidence and timing uncertainty.

Feb. 12 announcement
100Confirmed outcome

The hiring outcome is confirmed; the recontact claim remains unresolved.

Source chain

2 reporting roots

Outcome reporting and the later process report remain separate roots unless copying is demonstrated.

The Feb. 8 hiring report, Ryan's public challenge, and the Feb. 12 team statement must be evaluated in the order they appeared.

Timeline

  1. Expected hire reported

    NFL.com reports Dallas is hiring Zimmer, via Tom Pelissero.

  2. Public challenge

    Rex Ryan says he is not sure Zimmer has the job; ESPN reports continuing uncertainty.

  3. Agreement announced

    Dallas says an agreement was reached Monday afternoon and acknowledges it was not finalized Sunday.

Evidence register

Case 03 · 2025 · Joint-report and source-chain case

Micah Parsons traded to Green Bay

First-pass coded

A blockbuster report with three named reporters, multiple trade terms and a contract extension, designed to test joint bylines without inflating corroboration.

Why this case

This case forces the model to distinguish three credited reporters from three independent confirmations and to resolve trade and contract terms separately.

Atomic claim register

CR-2025-PARSONS-01
Trade / transaction · DefiniteDallas would trade Micah Parsons to Green Bay.

Confirmed by both clubs and the Packers transaction log.

VerifiedTier A
CR-2025-PARSONS-02
Trade terms · DefiniteDallas would receive Kenny Clark and 2026 and 2027 first-round picks.

Exact compensation confirmed by Dallas and Green Bay.

VerifiedTier A
CR-2025-PARSONS-03
Contract terms · DefiniteParsons would sign a four-year, $188 million extension with $136 million guaranteed.

Total value was confirmed by Dallas; the guarantee was independently reported by AP.

VerifiedTier B

Time-aware story snapshots

Joint sourced report
78Credible

Detailed terms and strong reporting credit, counted as one root.

Official and independent evidence
100Confirmed

Trade, compensation and contract atoms are all resolved.

Source chain

1 reporting root

A joint report is one reporting root, even when three reporters share credit.

Ian Rapoport, Tom Pelissero and Jane Slater receive joint credit for one root. Team and league records are resolution evidence, not extra scoops.

Timeline

  1. Joint report

    NFL.com publishes the trade, compensation and extension terms with three reporters credited.

  2. Club confirmation

    Dallas and Green Bay confirm the transaction and trade compensation.

  3. Independent contract detail

    AP reports the extension's total and guaranteed value.

Evidence register

Next research tranche

Build the sample before publishing a leaderboard.

The remaining pilot cases will widen the category mix across injuries, negotiations, team interest and expected outcomes. Reporter reliability will stay unpublished until double-coding and minimum sample gates are met.

Review the methodology